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1. Identificação
Tipo de ReferênciaArtigo em Revista Científica (Journal Article)
Sitemtc-m21c.sid.inpe.br
Código do Detentorisadg {BR SPINPE} ibi 8JMKD3MGPCW/3DT298S
Identificador8JMKD3MGP3W34R/3RHSA65
Repositóriosid.inpe.br/mtc-m21c/2018/08.01.13.35
Última Atualização2018:08.01.13.35.09 (UTC) simone
Repositório de Metadadossid.inpe.br/mtc-m21c/2018/08.01.13.35.09
Última Atualização dos Metadados2021:01.02.22.16.23 (UTC) administrator
DOI10.1080/16000870.2018.1481690
ISSN0280-6495
Chave de CitaçãoPattnayakGTBBBSCC:2018:AdNeEv
TítuloAdding new evidence to the attribution puzzle of the recent water shortage over São Paulo (Brazil)
Ano2018
MêsJune
Data de Acesso09 maio 2024
Tipo de Trabalhojournal article
Tipo SecundárioPRE PI
Número de Arquivos1
Tamanho3723 KiB
2. Contextualização
Autor1 Pattnayak, K. C.
2 Gloor, E.
3 Tindall, J. C.
4 Brienen, R. J. W.
5 Barichivich, J.
6 Baker, J. C. A.
7 Spracklen, D. V.
8 Cintra, B. B. L.
9 Coelho, Caio Augusto dos Santos
Grupo1
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9 DIDOP-CGCPT-INPE-MCTIC-GOV-BR
Afiliação1 University of Leeds
2 University of Leeds
3 University of Leeds
4 University of Leeds
5 University of Leeds
6 University of Leeds
7 University of Leeds
8 University of Leeds
9 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)
Endereço de e-Mail do Autor1 K.C.Pattnayak@leeds.ac.uk
2
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4
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9 caio.coelho@inpe.br
RevistaTellus Series A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography
Volume70
Páginase1481690
Nota SecundáriaA2_MATEMÁTICA_/_PROBABILIDADE_E_ESTATÍSTICA A2_INTERDISCIPLINAR A2_GEOCIÊNCIAS
Histórico (UTC)2018-08-01 13:35:09 :: simone -> administrator ::
2018-08-01 13:35:10 :: administrator -> simone :: 2018
2018-09-05 10:45:42 :: simone -> administrator :: 2018
2021-01-02 22:16:23 :: administrator -> simone :: 2018
3. Conteúdo e estrutura
É a matriz ou uma cópia?é a matriz
Estágio do Conteúdoconcluido
Transferível1
Tipo do ConteúdoExternal Contribution
Tipo de Versãopublisher
Palavras-Chavewater shortages
deforestation
pattern recognition algorithm
climate change
sea surface temperature anomaly
ResumoSao Paulo, Brazil has experienced severe water shortages and record low levels of its water reservoirs in 2013-2014. We evaluate the contributions of Amazon deforestation and climate change to low precipitation levels using a modelling approach, and address whether similar precipitation anomalies might occur more frequently in a warming world. Precipitation records from INMET show that the dry anomaly extended over a fairly large region to the north of Sao Paulo. Unique features of this event were anomalous sea surface temperature (SST) patterns in the Southern Atlantic, an extension of the sub tropical high into the Sao Paulo region and moisture flux divergence over Sao Paulo. The SST anomalies were very similar in 2013/14 and 2014/15, suggesting they played a major role in forcing the dry conditions. The SST anomalies consisted of three zonal bands: a cold band in the tropics, a warm band to the south of Sao Paulo and another cold band poleward of 40 S. We performed ensemble climate simulations with observed SSTs prescribed, vegetation cover either fixed at 1870 levels or varying over time, and greenhouse gases (GHGs) either fixed at preindustrial levels (280 ppm CO2) or varying over time. These simulations exhibit similar precipitation deficits over the Sao Paulo region in 2013/14. From this, we infer that SST patterns and the associated large-scale state of the atmosphere were important factors in determining the precipitation anomalies, while deforestation and increased GHGs only weakly modulated the signal. Finally, analyses of future climate simulations from CMIP5 models indicate that the frequency of such precipitation anomalies is not likely to change in a warmer climate.
ÁreaMET
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4. Condições de acesso e uso
URL dos dadoshttp://mtc-m21c.sid.inpe.br/ibi/8JMKD3MGP3W34R/3RHSA65
URL dos dados zipadoshttp://mtc-m21c.sid.inpe.br/zip/8JMKD3MGP3W34R/3RHSA65
Idiomaen
Arquivo Alvopattnayak_adding.pdf
Grupo de Usuáriossimone
Grupo de Leitoresadministrator
simone
Visibilidadeshown
Política de Arquivamentoallowpublisher allowfinaldraft
Permissão de Atualizaçãonão transferida
5. Fontes relacionadas
Unidades Imediatamente Superiores8JMKD3MGPCW/43SQKNE
DivulgaçãoWEBSCI; PORTALCAPES.
Acervo Hospedeirourlib.net/www/2017/11.22.19.04
6. Notas
Campos Vaziosalternatejournal archivist callnumber copyholder copyright creatorhistory descriptionlevel e-mailaddress format isbn label lineage mark mirrorrepository nextedition notes number orcid parameterlist parentrepositories previousedition previouslowerunit progress project readpermission resumeid rightsholder schedulinginformation secondarydate secondarykey session shorttitle sponsor subject tertiarymark tertiarytype url
7. Controle da descrição
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